Sunday, August 11, 2013

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Week: 05 August to 08 August: 2013 - Death Cross Watch 2



Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 08 Aug'13



Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 08 Aug'13



Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Apr' 2013, onward - as on 08 Aug'13




Learning from the Past Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

  • On the Medium Term EOW #3, the 'High Wave' Candle studied 3 weeks ago, gives the Bears more cheer.
  • June's 'Hanging Man' Candle & May's Shooting Star on the Long Term EOM #1 Charts - give the Bears much to cheer about. 
Support & Resistance:
  • The 61.8% Fibonacci retrace of the 'Jan'12 low to All time high' cracks  #5.
  • Index bounces off our Day Channel's bottom #5 exactly.
Moving Averages:
  • 50 SMA and 200 SMA cross bearishly in a Death Cross #5 as anticipated last week. 
  • Index takes support on the stable 34 EMA, on the Long Term Chart  #5.
Indicators:
  • 'Trend Deviation' Indicator #2 on the long term charts show Bulls slipping below the center line.
  • MACD Histogram ticks up #6.



Bears ride the 'High Wave' #3 to a Death Cross..




Looking Forward into the next Week:

Patterns:

Support & Resistance:
  • The 200 SMA #5 is now resistance - for the Bulls.
  • The 50% Fibonacci retrace of the 'Jan'12 low to All time high' is the next available support for the Bulls #5.
Moving Averages:
  • 200 SMA and 50 SMA on the Day Charts remaining Bearishly Crossed keeps the Bulls under pressure #5.. 
  • 13 SMA and 5 EMA on the Long Term #1 are currently Bearishly Crossed (as its below 5655) it can Bullishly Deflect if Index gets above 5655 for August.  
Indicators:
  • 'Trend Deviation' Indicator #2 could see the Index bounce of its center line for a new Bull run if the Bulls get to stay above it for August.



Bulls want life above 5655 and a golden Cross -  Bears wish to crack the 34 EMA #1 and the EOD Channel bottom #5.