Monday, April 21, 2014

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls sneak a 3 outside up - Week 4 of April 2014.



Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 17 Mar'14


Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 17 Mar'14


Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2013, onward - as on 17 Mar'14




Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
  • Engulfing Pattern of previous week becomes a Three outside up #W1 by a wafer thin margin
  • Evening star possibility on the Monthly charts remain #M1.
Support & Resistance:
  • The 5 EMA on the medium term charts #W1 was support for Bulls once again. 
Moving Averages:
  • Index sees the short term 5 EMA and 13 SMA meeting for a deflection or cross #D1. 
Indicators:
  • MACD and its MA cross bearishly #D2, 
  • TRD hanging around the 61.8% retrace drawn #M2.


Wrap:
Bulls manage to retain control of all screens - Bears eye a evening star #M1.




Looking Forward into this Week:

 

Patterns:
  • Bullish Three outside up ( Study link herehere or elsewhere) active but needs a watch due to the meager margin it grew out of #W1.
  • Bears see a possibility of an Evening Star formation #M1 (Study link herehere or elsewhere)  
Support & Resistance:
  • The current support, the April'14 Wall i.e. 6642 - was tested, last couple of weeks.
  • EOD Channel top is now resistance for the Bulls #D1. 
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on and steady, even as index is clear above these SMAs #D1.
  • 5 EMA staying above the 13 SMA  (+6724 for Monday)  important for Bulls #D1.
Indicators:
  • TRD Indicator staying above the 61.8% retrace boosts bulls #M2.
  • MACD staying below its MA favors Bears #D2.


Wrap:
Bears hope for a Evening Star #M1Bulls seek to keep the weekly Three outside up alive #W1.