Monday, September 8, 2014

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls Star - Week 2 of September 2014.



Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 05 Sept'14


Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 05 Sept'14


Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 05 Sept'14



Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
  • Bulls kill last week's Evening Star Possibility with another ATH #W1.
  • Earlier week's 'Above the Stomach' Pattern, keeps the Bulls going #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bulls keep above the 5 EMA on the EOD all week #D1
  • Bears fails to defend the EOD channel top - previous (steeper) channel active now #M1
Moving Averages: 
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD stay bullishly crossed to give Bulls continued dominance of all screens #D1.
Indicators:
  • MACD and its MA are Bullishly Crossed - but MACD divergence to Price is huge #D2. 
  • STS stopped by its resistance line - but remains in the over bought #W1.

Wrap:
Bulls dominate all screen and make another new High, Bears fail to defend earlier EOD channel top line #D1.




Looking Forward into this Week:


Patterns:
  • Earlier week's 'Above the Stomach' Pattern (Study links herehere or elsewherenear the Highs, warrant a careful look #W1.
  • Throwback (study) of Price to last week's EOD channel top #D1 - to be watched to assess Bull strength.
Support & Resistance:
  • Support that the Bulls have to defend is the 5 EMA on the EOD ( 8068 for Monday) #D1.
  • Index  faces resistance at the new EOD channel top line #D1. 
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on - the MA's are currently steady #D1.
Indicators:
  • STS slipping below the overbought, will work for the Bears #W1.


Wrap:
Bulls look to defend the the 5 EMA on the Day Chart and make new ATHs #D1.
Bears seek to defend the current ATH ( 8142) #D1.