Monday, March 10, 2014

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bull's get their Continuum - Week 2 of March 2014.



S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 07 Mar'14


S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 07 Mar'14


S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from Oct'2013, onward - as on 07 Mar'14




Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:

  • Bulls made a weekly 'Opening White Marubozu' near the ATH and got a continuum with a green week (see last two candles on the EOW) #W1. 
Support & Resistance:
  • Bulls keep it above the 5 EMA on all charts and reach the Week Channel Top #W1.
Moving Averages:  
  • On the Day Chart, the 5 EMA and 13 SMA deflect #D1. 
Indicators:
  • RSI 13, continues to meander in the 60s #W2 while the Oscillator on the long term chart peeps into the over-bought zone #M1


Wrap:
Bulls control all Time Frames. Bears defend the Week Channel top #W1 




Looking forward into this Week:


Patterns:
  • The 'Deliberation Candle Pattern' (Study link herehere or elsewhere) needs consideration #M1. 
  • Weekly 'Opening White Marubozu' (Study link herehere or elsewhere) is active #W1. 
Support & Resistance:
  • MVWAP 34 on the Day Chart #D1, is now support for the Bulls, while the Week Channek Top #W1 is resistance.
Moving Averages:
  • Bears need to get the index below the 13 SMA (1828) #W1 to get back into the game - Bulls seek  continuum to a new ATH #M1.
Indicators:
  • Stochastic 34 3 4, staying in the over-bought zone, works for the Bulls #D2.  


Wrap:
Bears hope to defend the Week Channel top - Bulls want the momentum, to continue making new ATHs.